A Digital Twin for GEOphysical extremes

Research InfrastructuresHORIZON-RIAID: 101058129
EC Contribution
€111,383
Consortium Size
27 orgs
Start Year
2022
Summary

With present computational capabilities and data volumes entering the Exascale Era, digital twins of the Earth system will be able to mimic the different system components (atmosphere, ocean, land, lithosphere) with unrivaled precision, providing analyses, forecasts, and what if scenarios for natural hazards and resources from their genesis phases and across their temporal and spatial scales. DT-GEO aims at developing a prototype for a digital twin on geophysical extremes including earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, and anthropogenic-induced extreme events. The project harnesses world-class computational and data Research Infrastructures (RIs), operational monitoring networks, and leading-edge research and academia partnerships in various fields of geophysics. The project will merge and assemble latest developments from other European projects and Centers of Excellence to deploy 12 Digital Twin Components (DTCs), intended as self-contained containerized entities embedding flagship simulation codes, Artificial Intelligence layers, large volumes of (real-time) data streams from and into data-lakes, data assimilation methodologies, and overarching workflows for deployment and execution of single or coupled DTCs in centralized HPC and virtual cloud computing RIs. Each DTC addresses specific scientific questions and circumvents technical challenges related to hazard assessment, early warning forecast, urgent computing, or resource prospection. DTCs will be verified at 13 Site Demonstrators (SD) and their outcomes will contain rich metadata to enable (semi-)automatic discovery, contextualisation, and orchestration of software (services) and data assets, enabling its integration to the European Open Science Cloud (EOSC). The proposal aims at being a first step of a long-term community effort towards a twin on Geophysical Extremes integrated in the Destination Earth (DestinE) initiative.

Consortium (27)

AGENCIA ESTATAL CONSEJO SUPERIOR DE INVESTIGACIONES CIENTIFICAS
coordinator
🇵🇱 AKADEMIA GORNICZO-HUTNICZA IM. STANISLAWA STASZICA W KRAKOWIEPL
partner
🇪🇸 BARCELONA SUPERCOMPUTING CENTER CENTRO NACIONAL DE SUPERCOMPUTACIONES
partner
CENTRE NATIONAL DE LA RECHERCHE SCIENTIFIQUE CNRS
partner
🇮🇹 CINECA CONSORZIO INTERUNIVERSITARIOIT
partner
🇨🇭 EIDGENOESSISCHE TECHNISCHE HOCHSCHULE ZUERICHCH
partner
🇮🇹 EUROPEAN PLATE OBSERVING SYSTEM - EUROPEAN RESEARCH INFRASTRUCTURE CONSORTIUMIT
partner
🇩🇪 GFZ HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM FUR GEOFORSCHUNGDE
partner
🇫🇷 INSTITUT DE PHYSIQUE DU GLOBE DE PARISFR
partner
🇫🇷 INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE DEVELOPPEMENTFR
partner
🇵🇱 INSTYTUT GEOFIZYKI POLSKIEJ AKADEMII NAUKPL
partner
🇮🇹 ISTITUTO NAZIONALE DI GEOFISICA E VULCANOLOGIAIT
partner
🇵🇹 LABORATORIO DE INSTRUMENTACAO E FISICA EXPERIMENTAL DE PARTICULAS LIPPT
partner
🇩🇪 LUDWIG-MAXIMILIANS-UNIVERSITAET MUENCHENDE
partner
🇨🇭 MONDAIC AGCH
partner
🇳🇴 NORGES GEOTEKNISKE INSTITUTT ASNO
partner
🇫🇷 OBSERVATOIRE DE LA COTE D'AZUR (OCA)FR
partner
🇳🇴 STIFTELSEN NORGES GEOTEKNISKE INSTITUTTNO
partner
🇬🇧 UNITED KINGDOM RESEARCH AND INNOVATIONGB
partner
🇪🇸 UNIVERSIDAD DE MALAGAES
partner
🇪🇸 UNIVERSITAT POLITECNICA DE VALENCIAES
partner
🇫🇷 UNIVERSITE COTE D'AZURFR
partner
🇫🇷 UNIVERSITE DE STRASBOURGFR
partner
🇫🇷 UNIVERSITE GRENOBLE ALPESFR
partner
🇫🇷 UNIVERSITE PARIS CITEFR
partner
🇩🇪 UNIVERSITY OF HAMBURGDE
partner
🇮🇸 VEDURSTOFA ISLANDSIS
partner

Project Results (103)

Source: CORDIS, the EU research results database.

Publications (58)
Dynamic management of uncertainty in rapid tsunami forecasting
Communications Earth & Environment· 2025DOI
Cordrie Louise; Selva Jacopo; Bernardi Fabrizio; Tonini Roberto; Romano Fabrizio; Volpe Manuela; Lorito Stefano
Forecasting 3D Rupture Dynamics of the Alto Tiberina Low-Angle Normal Fault, Italy
Seismica· 2025DOI
Mathilde Marchandon, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Lauro Chiaraluce, Elisa Tinti, Emanuele Casarotti, James Biemiller
Forecasting induced seismicity in enhanced geothermal systems using machine learning: challenges and opportunities
Geophysical Journal International· 2025DOI
Sadegh Karimpouli, Grzegorz Kwiatek, Patricia Martínez-Garzón, Danu Caus, Lei Wang, Georg Dresen, Marco Bohnhoff
Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems· 2025DOI
Anthony Jourdon; Dave A. May; Jorge N. Hayek; Alice‐Agnes Gabriel
Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2025DOI
Zihua Niu; Alice‐Agnes Gabriel; Sebastian Wolf; Thomas Ulrich; Vladimir Lyakhovsky; Heiner Igel
Large-scale reservoir modeling of the Vendenheim geothermal site (France)
Advances in Geosciences· 2025DOI
J. Abreu-Torres; G. Hutka; G. Hutka; G. Blöcher; G. Blöcher; M. Cacace; V. Magnenet; J. Schmittbuhl
Reduced-order modelling for complex three-dimensional seismic wave propagation
Geophysical Journal International· 2025DOI
John M Rekoske; Dave A May; Alice-Agnes Gabriel
Rheology and bathymetry effects captured by a multilayer landslide-tsunami model
Geophysical Journal International· 2025DOI
A Marbœuf, A Mangeney, A Le Friant, M J Castro, E Fernández-Nieto, A Lucas, P Poulain, A Moatty, M Silver, R Pedreros, A Lemoine, F Løvholt
Scientific Reports
Scientific Reports· 2025DOI
Devendra, Dhanushka; Łącka, Magdalena; Szymańska, Natalia; Nethupul, Hasitha; Pawłowska, Joanna; Szymczak-Żyła, Małgorzata; Krajewska, Magdalena; De Silva, Prasadi; Bondevik, Stein; Gibbons, Steven J.; Zajączkowski, Marek
Shallow fault zone structure affects rupture dynamics and ground motions of the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence to regional distances
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2025DOI
Nico Schliwa; Alice‐Agnes Gabriel; Yehuda Ben‐Zion
The Gutenberg–Richter Relation May Not Hold for the Anthropogenic Seismicity
Pure and Applied Geophysics· 2025DOI
Anastasios Kostoglou; Beata Orlecka-Sikora; Stanislaw Lasocki; Francis Tong
Three-dimensional wave propagation and earthquake dynamic rupture simulations in complex poroelastic media
Geophysical Journal International· 2025DOI
Sebastian Wolf; Alice-Agnes Gabriel; Martin Galis; Peter Moczo; David Gregor; Michael Bader
Turbulent diffusion and volcanic gas dispersion in the Atmospheric Surface Layer: Insights from La Solfatara, Campi Flegrei, Italy
Crossref· 2025DOI
Silvia Massaro; Antonio Costa; Manuel Stocchi; Giovanni Macedonio; Giancarlo Tamburello; Jacopo Selva; Laura Sandri; Fabio Dioguardi; Stefano Caliro; Francesco Rufino; Giulio Bini; Alessandro Santi; Rosario Avino; Giovanni Chiodini
Variability of Seismicity Rates and Maximum Magnitude for Adjacent Hydraulic Stimulations
Seismological Research Letters· 2025DOI
Grzegorz Kwiatek, Iason Grigoratos, Stefan Wiemer
A dispersion analysis of uniformly high order, interior and boundaries, mimetic finite difference solutions of wave propagation problems
GEM - International Journal on Geomathematics· 2024DOI
Otilio Rojas, Larry Mendoza, Beatriz Otero, Jorge Villamizar, Giovanni Calderón, Jose E. Castillo, Guillermo Miranda
A rockslide-generated tsunami in a Greenland fjord rang Earth for 9 days
Science· 2024DOI
Kristian Svennevig; Stephen P. Hicks; Thomas Forbriger; Thomas Lecocq; Rudolf Widmer-Schnidrig; Anne Mangeney; Clément Hibert; Niels J. Korsgaard; Antoine Lucas; Claudio Satriano; Robert E. Anthony; Aurélien Mordret; Sven Schippkus; Søren Rysgaard; Wieter Boone; Steven J. Gibbons; Kristen L. Cook; Sylfest Glimsdal; Finn Løvholt; Koen Van Noten; Jelle D. Assink; Alexis Marboeuf; Anthony Lomax; Kris Vanneste; Taka’aki Taira; Matteo Spagnolo; Raphael De Plaen; Paula Koelemeijer; Carl Ebeling; Andrea Cannata; William D. Harcourt; David G. Cornwell; Corentin Caudron; Piero Poli; Pascal Bernard; Eric Larose; Eleonore Stutzmann; Peter H. Voss; Bjorn Lund; Flavio Cannavo; Manuel J. Castro-Díaz; Esteban Chaves; Trine Dahl-Jensen; Nicolas De Pinho Dias; Aline Déprez; Roeland Develter; Douglas Dreger; Läslo G. Evers; Enrique D. Fernández-Nieto; Ana M. G. Ferreira; Gareth Funning; Alice-Agnes Gabriel; Marc Hendrickx; Alan L. Kafka; Marie Keiding; Jeffrey Kerby; Shfaqat A. Khan; Andreas Kjær Dideriksen; Oliver D. Lamb; Tine B. Larsen; Bradley Lipovsky; Ikha Magdalena; Jean-Philippe Malet; Mikkel Myrup; Luis Rivera; Eugenio Ruiz-Castillo; Selina Wetter; Bastien Wirtz
Assessing the Optimal Tsunami Inundation Modeling Strategy for Large Earthquakes in Subduction Zones
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans· 2024DOI
Scala, A.; Lorito, S.; Escalante Sánchez, C.; Romano, F.; Festa, G.; Abbate, A.; Bayraktar, H. B.; Castro, M. J.; Macías, J.; Gonzalez‐Vida, J. M.
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Geophysical Journal International· 2024DOI
Sadegh Karimpouli; Grzegorz Kwiatek; Patricia Martínez-Garzón; Georg Dresen; Marco Bohnhoff
Dynamic Rupture Modeling of Large Earthquake Scenarios at the Hellenic Arc Toward Physics‐Based Seismic and Tsunami Hazard Assessment
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2024DOI
Wirp, Sara Aniko; Gabriel, Alice‐Agnes; Ulrich, Thomas; Lorito, Stefano
Empowering Machine Learning Forecasting of Labquake Using Event‐Based Features and Clustering Characteristics
Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation· 2024DOI
Karimpouli, Sadegh; Kwiatek, Grzegorz; Ben‐Zion, Yehuda; Martínez‐Garzón, Patricia; Dresen, Georg; Bohnhoff, Marco
Equivalent Near-Field Corner Frequency Analysis of 3D Dynamic Rupture Simulations Reveals Dynamic Source Effects
Seismological Research Letters· 2024DOI
Nico Schliwa, Alice-Agnes Gabriel
Eruption plumes extended more than 30 km in altitude in both phases of the Millennium eruption of Paektu (Changbaishan) volcano
Communications Earth & Environment· 2024DOI
Antonio Costa; Leonardo Mingari; Victoria C. Smith; Giovanni Macedonio; Danielle McLean; Arnau Folch; Jeonghyun Lee; Sung-Hyo Yun
Fault size–dependent fracture energy explains multiscale seismicity and cascading earthquakes
Science· 2024DOI
Gabriel, Alice-Agnes; Garagash, Dmitry I.; Palgunadi, Kadek H.; Mai, P. Martin
Linking 3D Long‐Term Slow‐Slip Cycle Models With Rupture Dynamics: The Nucleation of the 2014 <i>M</i><sub>w</sub> 7.3 Guerrero, Mexico Earthquake
AGU Advances· 2024DOI
Li, Duo; Gabriel, Alice‐Agnes
Modeling and Quantifying Parameter Uncertainty of Co‐Seismic Non‐Classical Nonlinearity in Rocks
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2024DOI
Niu, Zihua; Gabriel, Alice‐Agnes; Seelinger, Linus; Igel, Heiner
Modeling the Asymptotic Behavior of Higher Order Aftershocks with Deep Learning
Seismological Research Letters· 2024DOI
Leila Mizrahi, Dario Jozinović
Modeling tsunami initial conditions due to rapid coseismic seafloor displacement: efficient numerical integration and a tool to build unit source databases
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences· 2024DOI
A. Abbate; A. Abbate; J. M. González Vida; M. J. Castro Díaz; F. Romano; H. B. Bayraktar; A. Babeyko; S. Lorito
Non‐Typical Supershear Rupture: Fault Heterogeneity and Segmentation Govern Unilateral Supershear and Cascading Multi‐Fault Rupture in the 2021 Mw ${M}_{w}$7.4 Maduo Earthquake
Geophysical Research Letters· 2024DOI
Hayek, J. N.; Marchandon, M.; Li, D.; Pousse‐Beltran, L.; Hollingsworth, J.; Li, T.; Gabriel, A.‐A.
Recording provenance of workflow runs with RO-Crate
PLOS ONE· 2024DOI
Leo, Simone; Crusoe, Michael R.; Rodríguez-Navas, Laura; Sirvent, Raül; Kanitz, Alexander; De Geest, Paul; Wittner, Rudolf; Pireddu, Luca; Garijo, Daniel; Fernández, José M.; Colonnelli, Iacopo; Gallo, Matej; Ohta, Tazro; Suetake, Hirotaka; Capella-Gutierrez, Salvador; de Wit, Renske; Kinoshita, Bruno P.; Soiland-Reyes, Stian
Reviews of Geophysics
Reviews of Geophysics· 2024DOI
Leila Mizrahi; Irina Dallo; Nicholas J. van der Elst; Annemarie Christophersen; Ilaria Spassiani; Maximilian J. Werner; Pablo Iturrieta; José A. Bayona; Iunio Iervolino; Max Schneider; Morgan T. Page; Jiancang Zhuang; Marcus Herrmann; Andrew J. Michael; Giuseppe Falcone; Warner Marzocchi; David Rhoades; Matt Gerstenberger; Laura Gulia; Danijel Schorlemmer; Julia Becker; Marta Han; Lorena Kuratle; Michèle Marti; Stefan Wiemer
The Collaborative Seismic Earth Model: Generation 2
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2024DOI
Noe, Sebastian; van Herwaarden, Dirk‐Philip; Thrastarson, Solvi; Pienkowska, Marta; Masouminia, Neda; Ma, Jincheng; Bunge, Hans‐Peter; Wehner, Deborah; Rawlinson, Nicholas; Gao, Yajian; Tilmann, Frederik; Rodgers, Artie; Fichtner, Andreas
The Linked Complexity of Coseismic and Postseismic Faulting Revealed by Seismo‐Geodetic Dynamic Inversion of the 2004 Parkfield Earthquake
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2024DOI
Schliwa, Nico; Gabriel, Alice‐Agnes; Premus, Jan; Gallovič, František
Towards a Harmonized Operational Earthquake Forecasting Model for Europe
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences· 2024DOI
Marta Han; Leila Mizrahi; Stefan Wiemer
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Crossref· 2023DOI
Li, Bo; Gabriel, Alice-Agnes; Gregor, Hillers
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Crossref· 2023DOI
Ben Knight; Fabio Antonio Capitanio; Roberto F. Weinberg; Luca Dal Zilio
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America· 2023DOI
L. Krenz, S. Wolf, G. Hillers, A.-A. Gabriel, M. Bader
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Seismica· 2023DOI
Ding, Xiaotian; Xu, Shiqing; Xie, Yuqing; van den Ende, Martijn; Premus, Jan; Ampuero, Jean-Paul
Comparison of methods for coupled earthquake and tsunami modelling
Geophysical Journal International· 2023DOI
L. S. Abrahams, L. Krenz, E.M. Dunham, A.-A. Gabriel, T. Saito
Complex strike-slip faulting during the 2021 Mw7.4 Maduo earthquake
Communications Earth & Environment (Commun Earth Environ)· 2023DOI
Guoguang Wei, Kejie Chen, Mingzhe Lyu, Wenzheng Gong, Luca Dal Zilio, Lingling Ye & Hongwei Tu
Decoding stress patterns of the 2023 Turkey-Syria earthquake doublet
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2023DOI
Jianquan Chen; Luca Dal Zilio; Hang Zhang; Guangliang Yang; Yaolin Shi; Chang Liu
Dueling dynamics of low-angle normal fault rupture with splay faulting and off-fault damage
Nature Communications· 2023DOI
Biemiller, J. and Gabriel, A.-A. and Ulrich, T.
Dynamic rupture models, fault interaction and ground motion simulations for the segmented Húsavík‐Flatey Fault Zone, Northern Iceland
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2023DOI
Li, Bo and Gabriel, Alice-Agnes and Ulrich, Thomas and Abril, Claudia and Halldorsson, Benedikt
Dynamics, interactions and delays of the 2019 Ridgecrest rupture sequence
Nature· 2023DOI
Taufiqurrahman, T., Gabriel, A.-A., Li, D., Ulrich, T., Li, B., Carena, S, Verdecchia, A, Gallovič, F.
Earthquake doublet in Turkey and Syria
Communications Earth & Environment (Commun Earth Environ)· 2023DOI
Luca Dal Zilio, L. & Ampuero, JP.
Explainable machine learning for labquake prediction using catalog-driven features
Earth and Planetary Science Letters· 2023DOI
Karimpouli, Sadegh; Caus, Danu; Grover, Harsh; Martínez-Garzón, Patricia; Bohnhoff, Marco; Beroza, Gregory C.; Dresen, Georg; Goebel, Thomas; Weigel, Tobias; Kwiatek, Grzegorz
Harnessing the potential of digital twins in seismology
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment (Nat Rev Earth Environ)· 2023DOI
Luca Dal Zilio L, Giardini D, Carbonell R & Wiemer S
How Does Thermal Pressurization of Pore Fluids Affect 3D Strike‐Slip Earthquake Dynamics and Ground Motions?
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America· 2023DOI
Jagdish Chandra Vyas; Alice‐Agnes Gabriel; Thomas Ulrich; Paul Martin Mai; Jean‐Paul Ampuero
Instantaneous Physics‐Based Ground Motion Maps Using Reduced‐Order Modeling
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth· 2023DOI
Rekoske, John M.; Gabriel, Alice‐Agnes; May, Dave A.
Kinematic rupture model of the February 6th 2023 Mw7.8 Turkey earthquake from a large set of near-source strong motion records combined by GNSS offsets reveals intermittent supershear rupture
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America· 2023DOI
Delouis, Bertrand; Ende, Martijn van den; Ampuero, Jean-Paul
Linked and fully coupled 3D earthquake dynamic rupture and tsunami modeling for the Húsavík–Flatey Fault Zone in North Iceland
Solid Earth· 2023DOI
F. Kutschera; F. Kutschera; A.-A. Gabriel; A.-A. Gabriel; S. A. Wirp; S. A. Wirp; B. Li; B. Li; T. Ulrich; C. Abril; B. Halldórsson; B. Halldórsson
Numerical Simulations of Seismoacoustic Nuisance Patterns from an Induced <i>M</i> 1.8 Earthquake in the Helsinki, Southern Finland, Metropolitan Area
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America· 2023DOI
Lukas Krenz; Sebastian Wolf; Gregor Hillers; Alice-Agnes Gabriel; Michael Bader
Physics-based modeling of earthquakes in slow deforming areas: a case study from the Eastern Betic Fault System (SE Spain)
instname:Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC)· 2023DOI
Paula Herrero-Barbero; José A. Álvarez-Gómez; Charles Williams; Pilar Villamor; Meaza Tsige; Juan M. Insua-Arévalo; Jorge Alonso-Henar; José J. Martínez-Díaz
The 2022 Chaos Canyon landslide in Colorado: Insights revealed by seismic analysis, field investigations, and remote sensing
Landslides· 2023DOI
Kate E. Allstadt; Jeffrey A. Coe; Elaine A. Collins; Francis K. Rengers; Anne Mangeney; Scott M. Esser; Jana Pursley; William L. Yeck; John J. Bellini; Lance R. Brady
The complex dynamics of the 2023 Kahramanmaraş, Turkey, Mw 7.8-7.7 earthquake doublet
Science· 2023DOI
Zhe Jia, Zeyu Jin, Mathilde Marchandon, Thomas Ulrich, Alice-Agnes Gabriel, Wenyuan Fan, Peter Shearer, Xiaoyu Zou, John Rekoske, Fatih Bulut, Asli Garagon, Yuri Fialko
Annals of Geophysics
EPOS Thematic Core Service Anthropogenic Hazards in the operational phase· 2022DOI
Lasocki, Stanislaw; Orlecka-Sikora, Beata; Kocot, Joanna; Chodzińska, Karolina; Leśnodorska, Anna
Automatic, Efficient and Scalable Provenance Registration for FAIR HPC Workflows
2022 IEEE/ACM Workshop on Workflows in Support of Large-Scale Science (WORKS)· 2022DOI
Sirvent Pardell, Raül; Conejero Bañón, Francisco Javier; Lordan Gomis, Francesc; Ejarque Artigas, Jorge; Rodríguez Navas, Laura; Fernández González, José María; Capella Gutiérrez, Salvador; Badia Sala, Rosa Maria
Broadband Dynamic Rupture Modeling With Fractal Fault Roughness, Frictional Heterogeneity, Viscoelasticity and Topography: The 2016 <i>M</i><sub>w</sub> 6.2 Amatrice, Italy Earthquake
Geophysical Research Letters· 2022DOI
Taufiqurrahman, T.; Gabriel, A.‐A.; Ulrich, T.; Valentová, L.; Gallovič, F.
Reconstructing tephra fall deposits via ensemble-based data assimilation techniques
Geoscientific Model Development· 2022DOI
L. Mingari; L. Mingari; A. Costa; G. Macedonio; A. Folch
Deliverables (44)
Demonstrators, pilots, prototypes
Websites, patent fillings, videos etc.
Documents, reports
Websites, patent fillings, videos etc.
Websites, patent fillings, videos etc.
Demonstrators, pilots, prototypes
Other Results (1)
Periodic Reporting for period 2 - DT-GEO (A Digital Twin for GEOphysical extremes)