IMPETUS4CHANGE (I4C): IMPROVING NEAR-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTIONS FOR SOCIETAL TRANSFORMATION

HORIZON.2.5HORIZON-RIAID: 101081555
EC Contribution
€95,738
Consortium Size
22 orgs
Summary

IMPETUS4CHANGE (I4C) will make significant scientific advances that will enhance our collective ability to act on and adapt to near-term climate change. The overarching objective of I4C is to improve the quality, accessibility and usability of near-term climate information and services at local to regional scales – where impacts are most keenly felt and on-the-ground adaptation is implemented – to strengthen and support end-user adaptation planning and action. Several specific objectives work towards this overarching goal: 1) Improve understanding and flow of climate information through knowledge networks

Consortium (22)

Project Results (48)

Source: CORDIS, the EU research results database.

Publications (36)
Implementation and validation of a supermodeling framework into Community Earth System Model version 2.1.5
Geoscientific Model Development· 2026DOI
William E. Chapman, Francine Schevenhoven, Judith Berner, Noel Keenlyside, Ingo Bethke, Ping-Gin Chiu, Alok Gupta, Jesse Nusbaumer
The Importance of Accounting for Stakeholder Values, Power Relationships and Language in Constructing Relevant and Trustworthy Climate Information
Earth's Future· 2026DOI
Douglas Maraun, Dragana Bojovic, Wendy Parker, Theodore G. Shepherd, Stefan Sobolowski, Cyril Caminade, Alessandro Dosio, William J. Gutowski, Anna Sörensson, Leandro B. Diaz, Ibrahima Diouf, Francisco J. Doblas‐Reyes, Valeria Hernández, Christopher Jack, Laura Pereira, Juan A. Rivera, Federico Robledo, Samuel Somot
When the sun goes down, heat vulnerability remains
City and Environment Interactions· 2026DOI
Jiayang Hu, Florence Gignac, Sam Pickard, Paloma Trascasa Castro, Eren Duzenli, Dragana Bojovic
<scp>EMBODYING AND RESISTING URBAN HEAT INJUSTICE</scp> : Migrant Vulnerabilities and Radical Adaptations in El Raval, Barcelona
International Journal of Urban and Regional Research· 2025DOI
Panagiota Kotsila, Valeria‐Carolin Cuenca, Manuel Franco, Lourenço Melo, Sam Pickard
A hybrid statistical-dynamical method to translate past extreme temperature days into the future climate
Weather and Climate Extremes· 2025DOI
Julien Boé, Margot Bador, Laurent Terray
Anomalously Warm European Summers Predicted More Accurately by Considering Sub‐Decadal North Atlantic Ocean Heat Accumulation
Geophysical Research Letters· 2025DOI
Lara Wallberg, Laura Suarez‐Gutierrez, Daniela Matei, Daniel Krieger, Wolfgang A. Müller
Assessing the performance of convection-permitting climate model in reproducing basin-scale hydrological extremes: A western Norway case study
Journal of Hydrology· 2025DOI
Kun Xie, Lu Li, Hua Chen, Chong-Yu Xu
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society· 2025DOI
Elizabeth J. Kendon; Henry Addison; Antoine Doury; Samuel Somot; Peter A. G. Watson; Ben B. B. Booth; Erika Coppola; José Manuel Gutiérrez; James Murphy; Calum Scullion
Cloud radiative effects significantly increase wintertime atmospheric blocking in the Euro-Atlantic sector
Nature Communications· 2025DOI
Sandro W. Lubis, Bryce E. Harrop, Jian Lu, L. Ruby Leung, Ziming Chen, Clare S. Y. Huang, Nour-Eddine Omrani
Future Local‐Scale Extreme Precipitation Changes in Norway: A Convection‐Permitting Climate Model Perspective
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres· 2025DOI
Kun Xie; Lu Li; Hua Chen; Stephanie Mayer; Stefan P. Sobolowski; Chong‐Yu Xu
GCM Selection and Ensemble Design: Best Practices and Recommendations from the EURO-CORDEX Community
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society· 2025DOI
Stefan Sobolowski; Samuel Somot; Jesus Fernandez; Guillaume Evin; Swen Brands; Douglas Maraun; Sven Kotlarski; Martin Jury; Rasmus E. Benestad; Claas Teichmann; Ole B. Christensen; Katharina Bülow; Erasmo Buonomo; Eleni Katragkou; Christian Steger; Silje Sørland; Grigory Nikulin; Carol McSweeney; Andreas Dobler; Tamzin Palmer; Renate Wilcke; Julien Boé; Lukas Brunner; Aurélien Ribes; Said Qasmi; Pierre Nabat; Florence Sevault; Thomas Oudar
Heat and Health in the Barcelona Metropolitan Area: Bringing together Researchers, Decision-Makers, and Public Engagement Experts
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society· 2025DOI
Sam Pickard, Dragana Bojovic, Mar Santamaria-Varas, Pablo Martínez Díez
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences· 2025DOI
K. Xie; K. Xie; L. Li; H. Chen; H. Chen; S. Mayer; A. Dobler; C.-Y. Xu; O. M. Göktürk
Hydrology for impact: building partnerships, blending knowledge and bracing for climate change
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences· 2025DOI
Orr, Harriet G.; Hall, Caitlyn A.; Rhodes, Vicki; Wilby, Rob L.; Peat, Katy L.; Fowler, Hayley J.
More extreme summertime North Atlantic Oscillation under climate change
Communications Earth & Environment· 2025DOI
Quan Liu, Jürgen Bader, Johann H. Jungclaus, Daniela Matei
Predictability of Semiannual Atmospheric Circulation Type Frequencies in the Extratropics Using the EC‐Earth3 Decadal Forecasting System
Geophysical Research Letters· 2025DOI
S. Brands, E. Cimadevilla, J. Fernández
The changing role of operational meteorology towards a transdisciplinary approach to future weather and climate services
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences· 2025DOI
Paul Davies; Hayley J. Fowler; Helen Roberts; Christopher J. White; Monica Youngman; David P. Rogers
Unraveling the Complexity of Global Climate Dynamics: Interactions among El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and Tropical Basins Across Different Timescales
Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Research· 2025DOI
Hu, Aixue; Richter, Ingo; Okumura, Yuko; Burls, Natalie; Keenlyside, Noel; Parfitt, Rhys; Bellomo, Katinka; Bellucci, Alessio; Farneti, Riccardo; Fedorov, Alexey; Ferster, Brady; He, Chengfei; Li, Qian; Matei, Daniela
A multi-model analysis of the decadal prediction skill for the North Atlantic ocean heat content
Earth System Dynamics· 2024DOI
T. Carmo-Costa; R. Bilbao; J. Robson; A. Teles-Machado; A. Teles-Machado; P. Ortega
Enhanced Evaluation of Sub-daily and Daily Extreme Precipitation in Norway from Convection-Permitting Models at Regional and Local Scales
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences· 2024DOI
Kun Xie; Lu Li; Hua Chen; Stephanie Mayer; Andreas Dobler; Chong-Yu Xu; Ozan Mert Gokturk
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems· 2024DOI
Sebastien Barthelemy; Francois Counillon; Yiguo Wang
Northwestern Mediterranean Heavy Precipitation Events in a Warmer Climate: Robust Versus Uncertain Changes With a Large Convection‐Permitting Model Ensemble
Geophysical Research Letters· 2024DOI
Cécile Caillaud, Samuel Somot, Hervé Douville, Antoinette Alias, Sophie Bastin, Susanne Brienen, Marie-Estelle Demory, Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Thomas Frisius, Klaus Goergen, Elizabeth J. Kendon, Klaus Keuler, Geert Lenderink, Paola Mercogliano,
On the suitability of a convolutional neural network based RCM-emulator for fine spatio-temporal precipitation
Climate Dynamics· 2024DOI
Doury, Antoine; Somot, Samuel; Gadat, Sebastien
Precipitation extremes in 2023
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment· 2024DOI
Fowler HJ; Blenkinsop S; Green A; Davies PA
Recent Ventures in Interdisciplinary Arctic Research: The ARCPATH Project
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences· 2024DOI
Ogilvie, Astrid E. J.; King, Leslie A.; Keenlyside, Noel; Counillon, Francois; Davidsdottir, Brynhildur; Einarsson, Niels; Gulev, Sergey; Fan, Ke; Koenigk, Torben; Mcgoodwin, James R.; Rasmusson, Marianne H.; Yang, Shuting
The signature of the main modes of climatic variability as revealed by the Jenkinson‐Collison classification over Europe
International Journal of Climatology· 2024DOI
Juan A. Fernández‐Granja; Joaquín Bedia; Ana Casanueva; Swen Brands; Jesús Fernández
Urban Climate
Urban Climate· 2024DOI
Langendijk, Gaby; Halenka, Tomas; Hoffmann, Peter; Adinolfi, Marianna; Aldama Campino, Aitor; Asselin, Olivier; Bastin, Sophie; Bechtel, Benjamin; Belda, Michal; Bushenkova, Angelina; Campanale, Angelo; Chun, Kwok Pan; Constantinidou, Katiana; Coppola, Erika; Demuzere, Matthias; Doan, Quang-Van; Evans, Jason; Feldmann, Hendrik; Fernandez, Jesus; Fita, Lluís; Hadjinicolaou, Panos; Hamdi, Rafiq; Hundhausen, Marie; Grawe, David; Johannsen, Frederico; Milovac, Josipa; Katragkou, Eleni; El Islam Kerroumi, Nour; Kotlarski, Sven; Le Roy, Benjamin Guillaume; Lemonsu, Aude; Lennard, Christopher; Lipson, Mathew; Mandal, Shailendra; Muñoz Pabón, Luís; Pavlidis, Vassileios; Pietikäinen, Joni-Pekka; Raffa, Mario; Raluy-López, Eloisa; Rechid, Diana; Ito, Rui; Schulz, Jan-Peter; Soares, Pedro; Takane, Yuya; Teichmann, Claas; Thatcher, Marcus; Top, Sara; van Schaeybroeck, Bert; Wang, Fuxing; Yuan, Jiacan
Assembling the climate story: use of storyline approaches in climate-related science
Global Challenges· 2023DOI
Baulenas, Eulàlia; Versteeg, Gerrit; Terrado, Marta; Mindlin, Julia; Bojovic, Dragana
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society· 2023DOI
Schevenhoven, F; Keenlyside, N.; Counillon, F.; Carrassi, A.; Chapman, W.E.; Devilliers, M.; Gupta, A.; Koseki, S.; Selten, F.M.; Shen, M.L.; Wang, S.; Weiss, J.B.; Wiegerinck, W.A.J.J.; Wiegerinck, W.A.J.J.; Duane, G.S.
ENSO teleconnections in terms of non-NAO and NAO atmospheric variability
Climate Dynamics· 2023DOI
Martin P. King; Noel Keenlyside; Camille Li
Framework for an Ocean‐Connected Supermodel of the Earth System
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems· 2023DOI
François Counillon, Noel Keenlyside, Shuo Wang, Marion Devilliers, Alok Gupta, Shunya Koseki, Mao‐Lin Shen
Hybrid covariance super-resolution data assimilation
Ocean Dynamics· 2023DOI
Sébastien Barthélémy; Julien Brajard; Laurent Bertino; François Counillon
Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions
Frontiers in Climate· 2023DOI
Terence J. O'Kane; Adam A. Scaife; Adam A. Scaife; Yochanan Kushnir; Anca Brookshaw; Carlo Buontempo; David Carlin; Richenda K. Connell; Francisco Doblas-Reyes; Francisco Doblas-Reyes; Nick Dunstone; Kristian Förster; Kristian Förster; Antonio Graça; Alistair J. Hobday; Vassili Kitsios; Larissa van der Laan; Julia Lockwood; William J. Merryfield; Andreas Paxian; Mark R. Payne; M. Catherine Reader; Geoffrey R. Saville; Geoffrey R. Saville; Doug Smith; Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali; Nico Caltabiano; Jessie Carman; Ed Hawkins; Noel Keenlyside; Arun Kumar; Daniela Matei; Holger Pohlmann; Scott Power; Scott Power; Marilyn Raphael; Michael Sparrow; Bo Wu
Thermohaline patterns of intrinsic Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in MPI-ESM-LR
Climate Dynamics· 2023DOI
Zanchettin, D; Fang, SW; Khodri, M; Omrani, NE; Rubinetti, S; Rubino, A; Timmreck, C; Jungclaus, JH
Transferability and explainability of deep learning emulators for regional climate model projections: Perspectives for future applications
Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems· 2023DOI
Bano-Medina, Jorge; Iturbide, Maialen; Fernandez, Jesus; Gutierrez, Jose Manuel
Environmental Research Letters
Environ. Res. Lett.DOI
Rashed Mahmood*, Shuting Yang and Markus G Donat
Deliverables (11)
Other Results (1)
Periodic Reporting for period 1 - Impetus4Change (IMPETUS4CHANGE (I4C): IMPROVING NEAR-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTIONS FOR SOCIETAL TRANSFORMATION)