A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
Sustainability Science· 2026DOI Timothy M. Lenton, Thomas W. R. Powell, Steven R. Smith, Frank W. Geels, Floor Alkemade, Martina Ayoub, Pete Barbrook-Johnson, Scarlett Benson, Fenna Blomsma, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Sara M. Constantino, Sibel Eker, Kai Greenlees, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Kelly Levin, Michael B. Mascia, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Ilona M. Otto, Viktoria Spaiser, Simon Sharpe, Talia Smith
Wellbeing cost of carbon
Global Sustainability· 2026DOI Sibel Eker, Claudia Reiter, Qi Liu, Michael Kuhn, Wolfgang Lutz
A rapid-application emissions-to-impacts tool for scenario assessment: Probabilistic Regional Impacts from Model patterns and Emissions (PRIME)
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Chris J. Smith, Norman J. Steinert, Andy J. Wiltshire, Chris Huntingford, Eszter Kovacs, Laila K. Gohar, Rebecca M. Varney, Douglas McNeall
A software package for assessing terrestrial planetary boundaries
Dieter Gerten, Johanna Braun, Jannes Breier, Wolfgang Lucht, Arne Tobian, Fabian Stenzel
A systematic method to integrate co‐produced causal loop diagrams based on feedback stories
System Dynamics Review· 2025DOI Jefferson K. Rajah, Birgit Kopainsky
An endogenous modelling framework of dietary behavioural change in the fully coupled human-climate FRIDA v2.1 model
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI Jefferson K. Rajah, Benjamin Blanz, Birgit Kopainsky, William Schoenberg
An overview of FRIDA v2.1: a feedback-based, fully coupled, global integrated assessment model of climate and humans
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI William Schoenberg, Benjamin Blanz, Jefferson K. Rajah, Beniamino Callegari, Christopher Wells, Jannes Breier, Martin B. Grimeland, Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist, Lennart Ramme, Chris Smith, Chao Li, Sarah Mashhadi, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Cecilie Mauritzen
Assessing Planetary Boundary Transgressions and Their Causes - Using the FRIDA system dynamics model
· 2025
Eriksson, Axel
Complexity and uncertainty in future food system transformation modelling
Enayat A. Moallemi, Adam C. Castonguay, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Rohan Nelson, Wolfgang Britz, Cameron Allen, Michalis Hadjikakou, Michael Battaglia, Brett A. Bryan, Costanza Conti, Raymundo Marcos-Martinez, Stefan Frank, Duy Nong, Sibel Eker, Saman Razavi, Javier Navarro-Garcia, Lei Gao
Feedback-based sea level rise impact modelling for integrated assessment models with FRISIAv1.0
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI Lennart Ramme, Benjamin Blanz, Christopher Wells, Tony E. Wong, William Schoenberg, Chris Smith, Chao Li
From situated knowledges to situated modelling: a relational framework for simulation modelling
Ecosystems and People· 2025DOI Anja Klein, Krystin Unverzagt, Rossella Alba, Jonathan F. Donges, Tilman Hertz, Tobias Krueger, Emilie Lindkvist, Romina Martin, Jörg Niewöhner, Hannah Prawitz, Maja Schlüter, Luana Schwarz, Nanda Wijermans
Integrative Sustainable Development Goal policy portfolios to accelerate global progress towards a more sustainable future: a modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health· 2025DOI Jing Yang, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong, Enayat A Moallemi, Sibel Eker, Qi Liu, Zengxiao Chi, Fengming Liu, Michael Obersteiner, Brett A Bryan
Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty
Communications Earth & Environment· 2025DOI Man Mei Chim, Thomas J. Aubry, Chris Smith, Anja Schmidt
Pineapple production and visions of regeneration– contrasting Costa Rican (agri)cultural paradigms
Revista Académica Arjé· 2025DOI Luana Schwarz, Carolin Janssen, Johannes Halbe
Polycrisis patterns: applying system archetypes to crisis interactions
Global Sustainability· 2025DOI David Collste, Cristina I. Apetrei, Linda Booth Sweeney, Jessica Lynch Boucher, Jenson Chong-Leng Goh, Olivier Hamant, Christoph E. Mandl, Gillian S. Martin Mehers, Riichiro Oda, Bert J. M. de Vries
Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5 °C with and without overshoot
Nature Climate Change· 2025DOI Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model
Earth System Dynamics· 2025DOI Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, Jonathan F. Donges
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Earth System Dynamics· 2025DOI Jordan P. Everall, Fabian Tschofenig, Jonathan F. Donges, Ilona M. Otto
Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades
Earth System Dynamics· 2024DOI Eker, S., Lenton, T. M., Powell, T., Scheffran, J., Smith, S. R., Swamy, D., & Zimm, C.
Engaged decision making: From team knowledge to team decisions
Rouwette, E. A. J. A. and L. A. Franco
Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences· 2024DOI Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf E. V. Jansen, Daniel I. Avila Ortega, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steven J. Lade, Thomas Hahn, Carl Folke, Garry D. Peterson, Anne-Sophie Crépin
fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections
Chris Smith; Donald P. Cummins; Hege-Beate Fredriksen; Zebedee Nicholls; Malte Meinshausen; Myles Allen; Stuart Jenkins; Nicholas Leach; Camilla Mathison; Antti-Ilari Partanen
fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections
Geoscientific Model Development· 2024DOI Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, Antti-Ilari Partanen
FeliX 2.0: An integrated model of climate, economy, environment, and society interactions
Environmental Modeling and Software· 2024DOI Ye Q., Liu Q., Swamy D., Gao L., Moallemi E., Rydzak F., Eker S.
Harnessing social tipping dynamics: A systems approach for accelerating decarbonization
Sibel Eker, Charlie Wilson, Niklas Höhne, Mark S. McCaffrey, Irene Monasterolo, Leila Niamir, Caroline Zimm
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
Earth System Dynamics· 2024DOI Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, Bryan M. Spears
What do you mean 'Climate Change'? An analysis of climate change framings in three climate assemblies
Environmental Science & Policy· 2024DOI Corinna Zeitfogel, Tim Daw, David Collste
A dynamic systems approach to harness the potential of social tipping
arXiv preprint arXiv· 2023DOI Eker, Sibel; Wilson, Charlie; Höhne, Niklas; McCaffrey, Mark S.; Monasterolo, Irene; Niamir, Leila; Zimm, Caroline
Climate uncertainty impacts on optimal mitigation pathways and social cost of carbon
environmental research letters· 2023DOI Christopher J Smith, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Doris Folini Pu Yang,
Full of Economic-Environment Linkages and Integration dX/dt (FeliX): Technical Model Documentation
IIASA Report· 2023
Eker S, Liu Q, Reiter C, & Kuhn M.
Participatory pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals: Inviting divergent perspectives through a cross-scale systems approach.
Environmental Research Communications· 2023DOI Collste, D., Aguiar, A. P., Harmáčková, Z., Galafassi, D., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., & van der Leeuw, S.
Positive tipping cascades
Global Tipping Points Report· 2023
Sibel Eker, Jürgen Scheffran, Timothy M. Lenton, Caroline Zimm, Steven R. Smith, Deepthi Swamy, Tom Powell
Social media data shed light on air-conditioning interest of heat-vulnerable regions and sociodemographic groups
Sibel Eker; Alessio Mastrucci; Shonali Pachauri; Bas van Ruijven
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Jordan Paul Everall, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
Towards a fully coupled Integrated Climate Assessment Model: FRIDA Version 0.1 (Feedback-based knowledge Repository for IntegrateD Assessments)
System Dynamics Conference (ISDC) 2023· 2023
William Schoenberg, Sarah Mashhadi, Cecilie Mauritzen, Chris Smith, Beniamino Callegari, David Collste, Sarah Cornell, Ada Gjermundsen