WorldTrans - TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE

Climate, Energy & MobilityHORIZON-RIAID: 101081661
EC Contribution
€52,313
Consortium Size
12 orgs
Start Year
2022
Summary

There are a few important working hypotheses that lie behind our choice of approach to this call. For Europe to deliver on its Green Deal ambition (to make Europe’s economy climate neutral by 2050), we believe that citizen engagement stakeholder engagement may be as important as dry facts and figures. People (not economies) react to climate change, people make decisions to act or not to act. Such is the nature of a democratic process. It is this realization that has made us choose to address transparency, openness, engagement and to work with models of the system, not its parts. WorldTrans will focus on three key limitations of the state-of-the-art of IAMs, namely:1 Weak representation of social, human and economic heterogeneity; 2 Limited representation of feedbacks between the domains of nature and humans; and 3 Lack of transparency with respect to the inner workings of the models as well as with respect to the uptake of results and involvement of citizens and stakeholders, including limited assessment and traceability of uncertainty. We will address systemic, structural deficiencies in current IAMs rather than making incremental improvements. In doing so, we sacrifice details of any particular sector or process, instead capturing the essences of their functions in order to focus on how those processes affect each other within and across domains. WorldTrans will use system dynamics methods and modelling to deal transparently with multiscale issues and policy response options; and “bridge gaps” between models, experts and user communities by developing attractive learning environments that allows for simulations of decisionmaking processes and joint reflections of meaning and implication. As such, WorldTrans will deliver actionable results in support of the expected impacts and outcomes requested by the call.

Consortium (12)

Project Results (48)

Source: CORDIS, the EU research results database.

Publications (35)
A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them
Sustainability Science· 2026DOI
Timothy M. Lenton, Thomas W. R. Powell, Steven R. Smith, Frank W. Geels, Floor Alkemade, Martina Ayoub, Pete Barbrook-Johnson, Scarlett Benson, Fenna Blomsma, Chris A. Boulton, Joshua E. Buxton, Sara M. Constantino, Sibel Eker, Kai Greenlees, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Kelly Levin, Michael B. Mascia, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, Ilona M. Otto, Viktoria Spaiser, Simon Sharpe, Talia Smith
Wellbeing cost of carbon
Global Sustainability· 2026DOI
Sibel Eker, Claudia Reiter, Qi Liu, Michael Kuhn, Wolfgang Lutz
A rapid-application emissions-to-impacts tool for scenario assessment: Probabilistic Regional Impacts from Model patterns and Emissions (PRIME)
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI
Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Chris J. Smith, Norman J. Steinert, Andy J. Wiltshire, Chris Huntingford, Eszter Kovacs, Laila K. Gohar, Rebecca M. Varney, Douglas McNeall
A software package for assessing terrestrial planetary boundaries
One Earth· 2025DOI
Dieter Gerten, Johanna Braun, Jannes Breier, Wolfgang Lucht, Arne Tobian, Fabian Stenzel
A systematic method to integrate co‐produced causal loop diagrams based on feedback stories
System Dynamics Review· 2025DOI
Jefferson K. Rajah, Birgit Kopainsky
An endogenous modelling framework of dietary behavioural change in the fully coupled human-climate FRIDA v2.1 model
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI
Jefferson K. Rajah, Benjamin Blanz, Birgit Kopainsky, William Schoenberg
An overview of FRIDA v2.1: a feedback-based, fully coupled, global integrated assessment model of climate and humans
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI
William Schoenberg, Benjamin Blanz, Jefferson K. Rajah, Beniamino Callegari, Christopher Wells, Jannes Breier, Martin B. Grimeland, Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist, Lennart Ramme, Chris Smith, Chao Li, Sarah Mashhadi, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Cecilie Mauritzen
Assessing Planetary Boundary Transgressions and Their Causes - Using the FRIDA system dynamics model
· 2025
Eriksson, Axel
Complexity and uncertainty in future food system transformation modelling
Nature Food· 2025DOI
Enayat A. Moallemi, Adam C. Castonguay, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Rohan Nelson, Wolfgang Britz, Cameron Allen, Michalis Hadjikakou, Michael Battaglia, Brett A. Bryan, Costanza Conti, Raymundo Marcos-Martinez, Stefan Frank, Duy Nong, Sibel Eker, Saman Razavi, Javier Navarro-Garcia, Lei Gao
Feedback-based sea level rise impact modelling for integrated assessment models with FRISIAv1.0
Geoscientific Model Development· 2025DOI
Lennart Ramme, Benjamin Blanz, Christopher Wells, Tony E. Wong, William Schoenberg, Chris Smith, Chao Li
From situated knowledges to situated modelling: a relational framework for simulation modelling
Ecosystems and People· 2025DOI
Anja Klein, Krystin Unverzagt, Rossella Alba, Jonathan F. Donges, Tilman Hertz, Tobias Krueger, Emilie Lindkvist, Romina Martin, Jörg Niewöhner, Hannah Prawitz, Maja Schlüter, Luana Schwarz, Nanda Wijermans
Integrative Sustainable Development Goal policy portfolios to accelerate global progress towards a more sustainable future: a modelling study
The Lancet Planetary Health· 2025DOI
Jing Yang, Lei Gao, Zhaoxia Guo, Yucheng Dong, Enayat A Moallemi, Sibel Eker, Qi Liu, Zengxiao Chi, Fengming Liu, Michael Obersteiner, Brett A Bryan
Neglecting future sporadic volcanic eruptions underestimates climate uncertainty
Communications Earth & Environment· 2025DOI
Man Mei Chim, Thomas J. Aubry, Chris Smith, Anja Schmidt
Pineapple production and visions of regeneration– contrasting Costa Rican (agri)cultural paradigms
Revista Académica Arjé· 2025DOI
Luana Schwarz, Carolin Janssen, Johannes Halbe
Polycrisis patterns: applying system archetypes to crisis interactions
Global Sustainability· 2025DOI
David Collste, Cristina I. Apetrei, Linda Booth Sweeney, Jessica Lynch Boucher, Jenson Chong-Leng Goh, Olivier Hamant, Christoph E. Mandl, Gillian S. Martin Mehers, Riichiro Oda, Bert J. M. de Vries
Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5 °C with and without overshoot
Nature Climate Change· 2025DOI
Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire
Social norms and groups structure safe operating spaces in renewable resource use in a social–ecological multi-layer network model
Earth System Dynamics· 2025DOI
Max Bechthold, Wolfram Barfuss, André Butz, Jannes Breier, Sara M. Constantino, Jobst Heitzig, Luana Schwarz, Sanam N. Vardag, Jonathan F. Donges
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
Earth System Dynamics· 2025DOI
Jordan P. Everall, Fabian Tschofenig, Jonathan F. Donges, Ilona M. Otto
Cross-system interactions for positive tipping cascades
Earth System Dynamics· 2024DOI
Eker, S., Lenton, T. M., Powell, T., Scheffran, J., Smith, S. R., Swamy, D., & Zimm, C.
Engaged decision making: From team knowledge to team decisions
· 2024DOI
Rouwette, E. A. J. A. and L. A. Franco
Evolution of the polycrisis: Anthropocene traps that challenge global sustainability
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences· 2024DOI
Peter Søgaard Jørgensen, Raf E. V. Jansen, Daniel I. Avila Ortega, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Jonathan F. Donges, Henrik Österblom, Per Olsson, Magnus Nyström, Steven J. Lade, Thomas Hahn, Carl Folke, Garry D. Peterson, Anne-Sophie Crépin
fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections
EGUsphere· 2024DOI
Chris Smith; Donald P. Cummins; Hege-Beate Fredriksen; Zebedee Nicholls; Malte Meinshausen; Myles Allen; Stuart Jenkins; Nicholas Leach; Camilla Mathison; Antti-Ilari Partanen
fair-calibrate v1.4.1: calibration, constraining, and validation of the FaIR simple climate model for reliable future climate projections
Geoscientific Model Development· 2024DOI
Chris Smith, Donald P. Cummins, Hege-Beate Fredriksen, Zebedee Nicholls, Malte Meinshausen, Myles Allen, Stuart Jenkins, Nicholas Leach, Camilla Mathison, Antti-Ilari Partanen
FeliX 2.0: An integrated model of climate, economy, environment, and society interactions
Environmental Modeling and Software· 2024DOI
Ye Q., Liu Q., Swamy D., Gao L., Moallemi E., Rydzak F., Eker S.
Harnessing social tipping dynamics: A systems approach for accelerating decarbonization
One Earth· 2024DOI
Sibel Eker, Charlie Wilson, Niklas Höhne, Mark S. McCaffrey, Irene Monasterolo, Leila Niamir, Caroline Zimm
Negative social tipping dynamics resulting from and reinforcing Earth system destabilization
Earth System Dynamics· 2024DOI
Viktoria Spaiser, Sirkku Juhola, Sara M. Constantino, Weisi Guo, Tabitha Watson, Jana Sillmann, Alessandro Craparo, Ashleigh Basel, John T. Bruun, Krishna Krishnamurthy, Jürgen Scheffran, Patricia Pinho, Uche T. Okpara, Jonathan F. Donges, Avit Bhowmik, Taha Yasseri, Ricardo Safra de Campos, Graeme S. Cumming, Hugues Chenet, Florian Krampe, Jesse F. Abrams, James G. Dyke, Stefanie Rynders, Yevgeny Aksenov, Bryan M. Spears
What do you mean 'Climate Change'? An analysis of climate change framings in three climate assemblies
Environmental Science & Policy· 2024DOI
Corinna Zeitfogel, Tim Daw, David Collste
A dynamic systems approach to harness the potential of social tipping
arXiv preprint arXiv· 2023DOI
Eker, Sibel; Wilson, Charlie; Höhne, Niklas; McCaffrey, Mark S.; Monasterolo, Irene; Niamir, Leila; Zimm, Caroline
Climate uncertainty impacts on optimal mitigation pathways and social cost of carbon
environmental research letters· 2023DOI
Christopher J Smith, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Doris Folini Pu Yang,
Full of Economic-Environment Linkages and Integration dX/dt (FeliX): Technical Model Documentation
IIASA Report· 2023
Eker S, Liu Q, Reiter C, & Kuhn M.
Participatory pathways to the Sustainable Development Goals: Inviting divergent perspectives through a cross-scale systems approach.
Environmental Research Communications· 2023DOI
Collste, D., Aguiar, A. P., Harmáčková, Z., Galafassi, D., Pereira, L., Selomane, O., & van der Leeuw, S.
Positive tipping cascades
Global Tipping Points Report· 2023
Sibel Eker, Jürgen Scheffran, Timothy M. Lenton, Caroline Zimm, Steven R. Smith, Deepthi Swamy, Tom Powell
Social media data shed light on air-conditioning interest of heat-vulnerable regions and sociodemographic groups
One Earth· 2023DOI
Sibel Eker; Alessio Mastrucci; Shonali Pachauri; Bas van Ruijven
The Pareto effect in tipping social networks: from minority to majority
EGUsphere· 2023DOI
Jordan Paul Everall, Jonathan F. Donges, and Ilona M. Otto
Towards a fully coupled Integrated Climate Assessment Model: FRIDA Version 0.1 (Feedback-based knowledge Repository for IntegrateD Assessments)
System Dynamics Conference (ISDC) 2023· 2023
William Schoenberg, Sarah Mashhadi, Cecilie Mauritzen, Chris Smith, Beniamino Callegari, David Collste, Sarah Cornell, Ada Gjermundsen
Deliverables (12)
Other Results (1)
Periodic Reporting for period 1 - WorldTrans (WorldTrans - TRANSPARENT ASSESSMENTS FOR REAL PEOPLE)