Biodiversity change across time and space in the Anthropocene: Leveraging metacommunity modelling, land-use change, and open data to achieve deeper understanding
ERC (European Research Council)HORIZON-ERCID: 101098020
EC Contribution
€24,391
Consortium Size
2 orgs
Start Year
2024
▶Summary
Despite connections between metacommunity level processes that maintain biodiversity and anthropogenic pressures that erode those processes, these have not been well integrated. I propose a multifaceted approach that(1) builds on metacommunity theory to develop expectations for the influence of anthropogenic drivers on scale-explicit biodiversity change;(2) uses this theory to develop an analytical pipeline to disentangle local and landscape factors driving this change;(3) use the derived results to develop scale-explicit projections of future biodiversity change that can aide biodiversity policy decisions.With theoretical expectations and analytical procedures in hand, we will synthesize biodiversity change across scales, and the relative influence of local versus landscape-level drivers on those changes. We will apply our analytical pipeline to the largest compilation of metacommunity time series to provide a comprehensive analysis of biodiversity change. We will complement this with a data collection campaign to resurvey zooplankton metacommunities from ponds that had been surveyed 10-50 years previously, but which have experienced different levels of background change (e.g., loss of nearby habitat). We will also compile a database to explore the potential influence of habitat restoration via local and landscape processes, and its influence on scale-explicit biodiversity change. We will analyse these synthetic datasets together with geospatial driver data using our novel analytical pipeline. Finally, we will develop a unique pipeline integrating metacomunity theory with our synthetic results and machine learning to develop projections of biodiversity change in the face of scenarios of anthropogenic change. With the information gained, we will contribute not only to a better understanding of the most important feature of life on this planetits biodiversitybut by developing this understanding, we can provide an avenue to mitigate the changes.
Consortium (2)
🇩🇪 MARTIN-LUTHER-UNIVERSITAT HALLE-WITTENBERGDE
coordinator🇬🇧 THE UNIVERSITY COURT OF THE UNIVERSITY OF ST ANDREWSGB
partnerProject Results (16)
Source: CORDIS, the EU research results database.
▶Publications (15)
Degradation of fish food webs in the Anthropocene
Juan D. Carvajal-Quintero, Maria Dornelas, Lise Comte, Juliana Herrera-Pérez, Pablo A. Tedesco, Xingli Giam, Ulrich Brose, Jonathan M. Chase
Disturbance interacts with dispersal and niche breadth to shape scale-dependent diversity change in metacommunities
Zachary Hajian-Forooshani, Jonathan M. Chase
Location‐scale models and cross validation to advance quantitative evidence synthesis
Shane A. Blowes
<scp>LandFrag</scp>: A Dataset to Investigate the Effects of Forest Loss and Fragmentation on Biodiversity
Thiago Gonçalves‐Souza, Maurício Humberto Vancine, Nathan J. Sanders, Nick M. Haddad, Lucas Cortinhas, Anne Lene T. O. Aase, Willian Moura de Aguiar, Marcelo Adrian Aizen, Víctor Arroyo‐Rodríguez, Arturo Baz, Maíra Benchimol, Enrico Bernard, Tássia Juliana Bertotto, Arthur Angelo Bispo, Juliano A. Bogoni, Gabriel X. Boldorini, Cibele Bragagnolo, Berry Brosi, Aníbal Silva Cantalice, Rodrigo Felipe Rodrigues do Carmo, Eliana Cazeta, Adriano G. Chiarello, Noé U. de la Sancha, Raphael K. Didham, Deborah Faria, Bruno Filgueiras, José Eugênio Côrtes Figueira, Gabriela Albuquerque Galvão, Michel Varajão Garey, Heloise Gibb, Carmelo Gómez‐Martínez, Ezequiel González, Reginaldo Augusto Farias de Gusmão, Mickaël Henry, Shayana de Jesus, Thiago Gechel Kloss, Amparo Lázaro, Victor Leandro‐Silva, Marcelo G. de Lima, Ingrid da Silva Lima, Ana Carolina B. Lins‐e‐Silva, Ralph Mac Nally, Arthur Ramalho Magalhães, Luiz Fernando Silva Magnago, Shiiwua Manu, Eduardo Mariano‐Neto, David Nyaga Mugo Mbora, Felipe P. L. Melo, Morris Nzioka Mutua, Selvino Neckel‐Oliveira, André Nemésio, André Amaral Nogueira, Patricia Marques Do A. Oliveira, Diego G. Pádua, Luan Paes, Aparecida Barbosa de Paiva, Marcelo Passamani, João Carlos Pena, Carlos A. Peres, Bruno X. Pinho, Jean‐Marc Pons, Victor Mateus Prasniewski, Jenny Reiniö, Magda dos Santos Rocha, Larissa Rocha‐Santos, Maria J. Rodal, Rodolpho Credo Rodrigues, Nathalia V. H. Safar, Renato P. Salomão, Bráulio A. Santos, Mirela N. Santos, Jessie Pereira dos Santos, Sini Savilaakso, Carlos Ernesto Gonçalves Reynaud Schaefer, Maria Amanda Menezes Silva, Fernando R. da Silva, Ricardo J. Silva, Marcelo Simonelli, Alejandra Soto‐Werschitz, John O. Stireman, Danielle Storck‐Tonon, Neucir Szinwelski, Marcelo Tabarelli, Camila Palhares Teixeira, Ørjan Totland, Marcio Uehara‐Prado, Fernando Zagury Vaz‐de‐Mello, Heraldo L. Vasconcelos, Simone A. Vieira, Jonathan M. Chase
BioTIME 2.0: Expanding and Improving a Database of Biodiversity Time Series
Maria Dornelas, Laura H. Antão, Amanda E. Bates, Viviana Brambilla, Jonathan M. Chase, Cher F. Y. Chow, Ada Fontrodona‐Eslava, Anne E. Magurran, Inês S. Martins, Faye Moyes, Alban Sagouis, Samuel Adu‐Acheampong, Daniel Acquah‐Lamptey, Dušan Adam, Penelope A. Ajani, Aitor Albaina, Pablo Almaraz, Jeongseop An, Roger Sigismund Anderson, Madelaine Jean Robertson Anderson, Alexsander Z. Antunes, Ivan Arismendi, Linda Armbrecht, Pedro Aros‐Mardones, Sreejith Kalpuzha Ashtamoorthy, Narayanan Ayyappan, Gal Badihi, Joseph J. Bailey, Andrew H. Baird, Mark Edward Baird, Sreekumar Vadakkethil Balakrishnan, José António L. Barão‐Nóbrega, Adi Barash, Miguel Barbosa, Jos Barlow, Claus Bässler, Matthieu Beaumont, Natalie Beenaerts, Tiago Octavio Begot, Wallace Beiroz, Ricardo Beldade, David M. Bell, Alecia Bellgrove, Jonathan Belmaker, Lisandro Benedetti‐Cecchi, Cassandra E. Benkwitt, Pamela Medina‐van Berkum, Brandon T. Bestelmeyer, Matthew G. Betts, Maxwell Kelvin Billah, Anne D. Bjorkman, Magdalena Błażewicz, Christopher P. Bloch, Shane A. Blowes, Antonio Bode, Juliano A. Bogoni, Thomas Bolger, Timothy C. Bonebrake, Erik Bonsdorff, Roberta Bottarin, Luke N. Brokensha, Rob W. Brooker, Andrew J. Brooks, Helge Bruelheide, Thiago Almeida Bueno, Claire Laguionie, Mariana Lopes Campagnoli, James Cant, Erica Pellegrini Caramaschi, Alexandre Caron, Tadhg Carroll, Tancredi Caruso, Juan Carvajal‐Quintero, Giuseppe Castaldelli, Edward Castañeda‐Moya, Pedro V. Castilho, Sonia Zanini Cechin, Shahar Chaikin, Uchangi Manjunatha Chandrashekara, Tory J. Chase, Chaolun Allen Chen, Jorge José Cherem, Sei‐Woong Choi, Erica M. Christensen, Alexander V. Christianini, Jackson Wing Four Chu, Peter Coad, Carl Van Colen, Lise Comte, Elisabeth J. Cooper, J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Eddy Cosson, Unai Cotano, Luc Crevecoeur, Shannan Kyle Crow, Graeme S. Cumming, Vanessa S. Daga, Gabriella Damasceno, Gergana N. Daskalova, Claire H. Davies, Robert A. Davis, Frank P. Day, Sussy De‐La‐Zerda, Amy Elizabeth Deacon, Indradatta de Castro‐Arrazola, Steven Degraer, Kharran Deonarinesingh, Juan C. Diaz‐Ricaurte, Christopher R. Dickman, Tara Dirilgen, Ciaran John Dolan, J. Emmett Duffy, Timothy E. Dunn, Giselda Durigan, Ciara Dwyer, Stevan Earl, Dor Edelist, Graham John Edgar, Sally Edmondson, Ashley K. Elgin, Kari Elsa Ellingsen, Sarah C. Elmendorf, Ruth S. Eriksen, S. K. Morgan Ernest, Ruben Escribano, Paula Cabral Eterovick, Brian S. Evans, Jason D. Everett, Vesela Evtimova, Dan A. Exton, Andrew J. Fairbairn, Felipe Moreli Fantacini, Fabiano Turini Farah, Fábio Zanella Farneda, Mario E. Favila, Philippe Fernandez‐Fournier, Braulio Fernández‐Zapata, Diogo F. Ferreira, Carola Ferronato, Christopher R. du Feu, Alessandra Fidelis, David A. Fifield, Vilmar Picinatto Filho, Walter Mesquita Filho, Robert N. L. Fitt, Carlos A. H. Flechtmann, William R. Fraser, Donna L. Fraser, Lídia Freixas, John Fryxell, Garrett J. Fundakowski, Scott Stanley Gabara, Elise Gallois, Mariana García Criado, Emili García‐Berthou, Joaquim Garrabou, Andrew R. Gates, Roberto Cazzolla Gatti, Anna Gavioli, Tal Gavriel, Benoit Gendreau‐Berthiaume, Xingli Giam, Carina Gjerdrum, Michael Glemnitz, Jasmin Annica Godbold, Daniel Gómez‐Gras, Rodrigo Barbosa Gonçalves, Andy Goold, Richard R. Gordon, Menachem Goren, Fernando Vilas Boas Goulart, William A. Gould, Meagan M. Grabowski, Nicholas A. J. Graham, Maurício Eduardo Graipel, Laura J. Grange, Aaron C. Greenville, Gary D. Grossman, Valeria A. Guinder, Peter Haase, Gary N. Haskins, Kris Havstad, Luise Hermanutz, Michael Julian Hames Hickford, Pamela Hidalgo, Pedro Higuchi, Andrew S. Hoey, Gert Van Hoey, Annika Hofgaard, Kristen T. Holeck, Robert D. Hollister, Richard T. Holmes, Mia Odell Hoogenboom, Joaquín Hortal, Tammy Horton, Chih‐hao Hsieh, Christine L. Huffard, Ida‐Maria Huikkonen, Allen H. Hurlbert, Julian Hynes, Pascal Irz, Natalia Macedo Ivanauskas, Akemi Iwayama, Darren K. James, Ute Jandt, Anna M.
Disentangling nonrandom structure from random placement when estimating β‐diversity through space or time
Daniel J. McGlinn, Shane A. Blowes, Maria Dornelas, Thore Engel, Inês S. Martins, Hideyasu Shimadzu, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Anne Magurran, Brian J. McGill, Jonathan M. Chase
Diversity responses to precipitation gradients differ between older and younger islands of Hawai‘i
Martha Paola Barajas Barbosa, Tiffany M. Knight, Renske E. Onstein, Jonathan M. Chase
Geometric and demographic effects explain contrasting fragmentation‐biodiversity relationships across scales
Stav Gelber, Shane A. Blowes, Jonathan M. Chase, Andreas Huth, Frank M. Schurr, Britta Tietjen, Julian W. Zeller, Felix May
Local nutrient addition drives plant diversity losses but not biotic homogenization in global grasslands
Qingqing Chen, Shane A. Blowes, W. Stanley Harpole, Emma Ladouceur, Elizabeth T. Borer, Andrew MacDougall, Jason P. Martina, Jonathan D. Bakker, Pedro M. Tognetti, Eric W. Seabloom, Pedro Daleo, Sally Power, Christiane Roscher, Peter B. Adler, Ian Donohue, George Wheeler, Carly Stevens, G. F. Ciska Veen, Anita C. Risch, Glenda M. Wardle, Yann Hautier, Catalina Estrada, Erika Hersch-Green, Yujie Niu, Pablo L. Peri, Anu Eskelinen, Daniel S. Gruner, Harry Olde Venterink, Carla D’Antonio, Marc W. Cadotte, Sylvia Haider, Nico Eisenhauer, Jane Catford, Risto Virtanen, John W. Morgan, Michelle Tedder, Sumanta Bagchi, Maria C. Caldeira, Miguel N. Bugalho, Johannes M. H. Knops, Chris R. Dickman, Nicole Hagenah, Anke Jentsch, Petr Macek, Brooke B. Osborne, Lauri Laanisto, Jonathan M. Chase
Species turnover does not rescue biodiversity in fragmented landscapes
Thiago Gonçalves-Souza, Jonathan M. Chase, Nick M. Haddad, Maurício H. Vancine, Raphael K. Didham, Felipe L. P. Melo, Marcelo A. Aizen, Enrico Bernard, Adriano G. Chiarello, Deborah Faria, Heloise Gibb, Marcelo G. de Lima, Luiz F. S. Magnago, Eduardo Mariano-Neto, André A. Nogueira, André Nemésio, Marcelo Passamani, Bruno X. Pinho, Larissa Rocha-Santos, Rodolpho C. Rodrigues, Nathalia Vieira Hissa Safar, Bráulio A. Santos, Alejandra Soto-Werschitz, Marcelo Tabarelli, Marcio Uehara-Prado, Heraldo L. Vasconcelos, Simone Vieira, Nathan J. Sanders
The interacting effects of climate and land‐cover change on bird communities in the United States
Kimberly L. Thompson, Jonathan M. Chase, Ruben Remelgado, Carsten Meyer
Unifying spatial scaling laws of biodiversity and ecosystem stability
Maowei Liang, Qi Yang, Jonathan M. Chase, Forest Isbell, Michel Loreau, Bernhard Schmid, Eric W. Seabloom, David Tilman, Shaopeng Wang
Warming and cooling catalyse widespread temporal turnover in biodiversity
Malin L. Pinsky, Helmut Hillebrand, Jonathan M. Chase, Laura H. Antão, Myriam R. Hirt, Ulrich Brose, Michael T. Burrows, Benoit Gauzens, Benjamin Rosenbaum, Shane A. Blowes
Synthesis reveals approximately balanced biotic differentiation and homogenization
Shane A. Blowes, Brian McGill, Viviana Brambilla, Cher F. Y. Chow, Thore Engel, Ada Fontrodona-Eslava, Inês S. Martins, Daniel McGlinn, Faye Moyes, Alban Sagouis, Hideyasu Shimadzu, Roel van Klink, Wu-Bing Xu, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Anne Magurran, Maria Dornelas, Jonathan M. Chase
Synthesis reveals approximately balanced biotic differentiation and homogenization
Shane A. Blowes, Brian McGill, Viviana Brambilla, Cher F. Y. Chow, Thore Engel, Ada Fontrodona-Eslava, Inês S. Martins, Daniel McGlinn, Faye Moyes, Alban Sagouis, Hideyasu Shimadzu, Roel van Klink, Wu-Bing Xu, Nicholas J. Gotelli, Anne Magurran, Maria Dornelas, Jonathan M. Chase
▶Deliverables (1)
Data Management Plan